Building the Next Texas Century

2027 Policy Playbook

October 29, 2026

Building the next Texas century will require more than a single legislative session, a single budget cycle or a single policy victory. The state’s most important challenges are connected across systems and unfold over time.

The 2027 Policy Playbook brings together years of research, data, and polling to identify how Texas can improve lives, expand opportunities and sustain prosperity through the bicentennial and beyond.

This is a pragmatic framework for defining challenges with credible data, translating evidence into practical solutions, building understanding among stakeholders, supporting state action, measuring whether implementation is delivering results and using those outcomes to improve policy over time.

Areas of Focus

Education and Workforce for the Future

Focuses on whether Texans can develop the knowledge, skills and credentials needed to succeed in an evolving economy.

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Foundations For Prosperity

Concentrates on the economic mobility conditions, including healthcare and childcare, that allow families to thrive.

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Infrastructure for Growth

Centers on the physical systems and natural resources that make sustaining Texas’ success possible.

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Government Performance and Accountability

Ensures state government can manage resources efficiently, connect data across agencies, measure results and address long-term challenges with fiscal discipline and accountability.

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Education and Workforce
for the Future

Recommendations

K12 Academic Foundations

  • Strengthen K-12 Academic Foundations
  • Prioritize Student Safety for AI In Education
  • Protect Teacher Pay From Rising Healthcare Costs
  • Restore Math Proficiency

High School to Credentials of Value

  • Strengthen the Pathway From Diploma to Credential of Value
  • Expand Access Through Regional Partnerships
  • Give High Schools Actionable Outcomes Data

Postsecondary and Workforce Outcomes

  • Preserve and Strengthen Outcomes-Based Higher Education Funding
  • Modernize Workforce Data and Strengthen Accountability
  • Connect Texans to High-Demand Careers
  • Make Every Credit Count and Expand Access

What the Data Says

Despite steady growth on the 2026 STAAR exam for grades 3-8, roughly half of Texas students are meeting grade-level expectations across all subjects — including 55% in reading and 43% in math.

Further, in 2024, Texas eighth graders received their lowest score on the NAEP math exam since 1996. From their peak score in 2011, Texas eighth graders have since fallen 21 points — roughly two grade levels of learning — and now trail the national average.

Ensuring Texas becomes the best state in the nation for public education requires data-driven strategies to increase academic proficiency, so all students have the skills needed to be successful.

Similarly, Career and Technical Education (CTE) is one of the state’s most powerful tools for closing the gap between high College, Career and Military Readiness (CCMR) rates and low credential attainment rates, yet access and program quality remain inconsistent.

Between 2017-2022, the rate of students earning an industry-based certification disconnected from their own program of study was nearly three in four. High-quality pathways can also require specialized instructors, equipment and partnerships that are difficult for a single district to sustain, leaving proven models like Pathways in Technology Early College High Schools (P-TECH) under-enrolled on some campuses while nearby students lack comparable options.

The state has built much of the infrastructure needed. The next step is to better connect programs, institutions and employers so more students can complete rigorous CTE pathways that prepare them for what comes next — whether that’s college, career or the military.

What Texas Voters Think

79%

favor schools being required to provide parents with notice about whether their child is learning at grade level beginning in kindergarten.

8th Texas Voter Poll, conducted Nov. 16–20, 2024, by Baselice & Associates for Texas 2036; reported survey base: 1,001 (margin of sampling error: ±3.1 percentage points)

71%

support clear, consistent A-F accountability ratings for school districts and campuses.

9th Texas Voter Poll, conducted Sept. 25–Oct. 1, 2025, by Baselice & Associates for Texas 2036; 1,001 registered Texas voters (margin of sampling error: ±3.1 percentage points)

Foundations
for Prosperity

Recommendations

Improving Healthcare Affordability

  • Address High Prices Caused by Market Failures
  • Address High Prices Caused by High Costs

Connecting Texans to Healthcare Coverage

  • Connect Eligible Texans to Existing Coverage
  • Give Texans Access to More Coverage Options
  • Help More Employers Offer Coverage

Reforming Childcare Governance

  • Unify Governance
  • Define Success
  • Use Data to Measure Progress
  • Fix Workforce Board Oversight

What the Data Says

Healthcare in Texas is unaffordable for two reasons: the prices patients are charged for care and what it actually costs to provide it.

For a family covered through an employer plan, total annual premiums for family coverage averaged roughly $27,000 in 2025 — a figure that approaches one-third of the median household income.

Additionally, a 2023 analysis found that 56% of uninsured Texans were eligible for existing coverage. Surveyed directly, 70% of uninsured Texans said they were not sure whether they qualified for ACA coverage at all, and 23% did not know what the ACA was, showing that the gap here is not price but information and awareness.

When it comes to childcare, state and federal early childhood programs combined reach only about one in six of Texas’ 2.6 million children under the age of six. Meanwhile, at least five state agencies (plus federal Head Start) regulate or fund childcare, with no single entity accountable for system outcomes.

With governance fractured, parents and employers are experiencing challenges in childcare quality and access, as well as work interruptions. A 2026 survey of employers found that childcare-related disruptions cost Texas employers $7.9 billion annually, while a survey of parents showed 56.7% of parents say the cost of care has affected their decisions about having more children.

What Texas Voters Think

81%

agree that the Texas state government should more actively regulate healthcare mergers to ensure the market remains sufficiently competitive.

79%

favor requiring transparent and binding pricing before delivery of non-emergency care.

10th Texas Voter Poll, conducted Aug. 22-26, 2026, by Baselice & Associates for Texas 2036; 1,369 completed interviews; effective sample size after weighting, 1,001 (margin of sampling error ±3.1 percentage points).

Infrastructure
for Growth

Recommendations

Securing Texas’ Water Future

  • Reform the State Water Planning Process
  • Establish Frameworks for Regional Water Markets
  • Enhance State Financial Assistance Programs
  • Modernize Texas’ Water Sector

Promoting a More Resilient Future

  • Reduce Weather-Related Risks to Homes and Communities
  • Preserve Access to Affordable Property Insurance
  • Strengthen Public-Sector Resilience to Extreme Weather

Powering the State’s Economy

  • Protect Texas’ Leadership in the Energy Expansion
  • Scale Texas’ Energy Grid for Growth and Resilience
  • Promote Energy Affordability for Texans
  • Establish Frameworks for Unique Energy Resources

What the Data Says

According to the 2027 State Water Plan, Texas faces a long-term water supply deficit if it does not expand and diversify its water supply portfolio and is afflicted by a long, severe drought. Inadequate water infrastructure, including insufficient water supplies and failing water systems, will cost the state economy billions.

Meanwhile, data from Texas 2036’s work with the Office of the State Climatologist indicates that Texas will endure a greater frequency of extreme weather events in the coming decades. These will include worsening floods, greater wildfire risks and, among other meteorological calamities, stronger hurricanes.

Extreme weather events such as Hurricane Harvey (2017), Winter Storm Uri (2021), and the Hill County floods (2025 and 2026) have incurred billions of dollars in damages and caused hundreds of deaths.

Rising extreme weather risks contributed to a 55% increase in homeowners’ insurance premiums between 2019 and 2024.

On the plus side, Texas punches above its weight with its contributions to U.S. energy production. In 2025, Texas produced 42.3% of the nation’s crude oil, 28.5% of U.S. natural gas, 27.9% of U.S. wind power generation and 19.8% of the nation’s total utility-scale solar.

What Texas Voters Think

79%

of Texas voters say prioritizing state water projects is extremely or very important — and that is identical whether the case is made on economic growth or shortage risk.

Source: 10th Texas Voter Poll, conducted Aug. 22–26, 2026, by Baselice & Associates for Texas 2036; 1,369 completed interviews; effective sample size after weighting: 1,001 (margin of sampling error: ±3.1 percentage points)

70%

of Texas voters approved Proposition 4 in 2025, dedicating $1 billion per year in state sales tax revenues to the Texas Water Fund for the next 20 years.

Source: Texas Secretary of the State data 2025 Election Results

Government Performance
and Accountability

Recommendations

Strengthen Fiscal Sustainability and Accountability 

  • Fund long-term priorities using relevant, timely and accurate data and measures
  • Prioritize existing obligations, reducing long-term liabilities and consideration of future cost-pressures
  • Use strong revenue conditions for strategic, targeted investments while avoiding creation of unsustainable obligations that reduce flexibility

Modernize Systems and Strengthen Implementation

  • Integrate state data systems and utilize meaningful, useful performance measures
  • Ensure major investments and reforms have clear goals and ownership, sustained resources and continued oversight

Prepare for Growth and Responsible Innovation 

  • Prepare state government to responsibly use and oversee emerging technologies
  • Improve the quality, accessibility and interoperability of judicial and criminal data
  • Ensure emerging sectors are responsibly and safely deployed while ultimately strengthening Texas’ economy

What the Data Says

Texas has the eighth-largest economy in the world, growing faster than many peers. Maintaining that success requires a government that can plan ahead, allocate resources wisely, measure results, and adapt as Texas changes.

With over 31 million residents and a biennial budget of approximately $338 billion, Texas has the opportunity to set the national standard for effective state government. Doing so depends on planning, modern technology, strong data systems, disciplined fiscal planning and a commitment to accountability.

Those capabilities strengthen every policy area Texas 2036 works in. Better data improves health, childcare, public safety, education and workforce outcomes. Long-term fiscal planning supports investments in water, energy and infrastructure. Government performance is not a standalone issue — it is the foundation that makes every public investment more effective.

Contributors

John Hryhorchuk. A smiling man with a beard wearing a navy suit, white shirt and blue tie.

“Texans want their leaders to make smart decisions about the state’s future and deliver progress on the issues that matter to their families. The next legislative session is an opportunity to build on what’s working, invest wisely and advance solutions that strengthen communities and expand opportunity across Texas.”

John Hryhorchuk
Senior Vice President, Policy and Advocacy

Jeremy Mazur

Director, Infrastructure and Natural Resources Policy

Austin

Alec Mendoza

Policy Advisor, Health and Economic Mobility

Austin

Luis Soberon

Senior Policy Advisor and In-House Counsel

Austin

Renzo Soto

Deputy Director, Education and Workforce

Austin

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