9TH EDITION • SEPTEMBER 2025

Texas Voter Poll

An inside look at what matters most to Texas voters — from education and affordability to confidence in the state’s future.

1,001

Registered Texas voters

Sept. 25 — Oct. 1

2025

±3.5%

Margin of error

Baselice & Associates

Conducted by

KEY FINDINGS

Texas Voters' Top Six Priority Issues

Survey respondents identified six priority issues they want lawmakers to address. The chart below reflects the share of Texas voters more likely to support a candidate who prioritizes each issue.

70%

Feel Optimistic about Texas’ future

Seven in ten Texas voters express optimism about the direction the state is headed over the next decade.

64%

Say cost of living is their #1 concern

Affordability — housing, insurance, and everyday expenses — dominate as the top day-to-day worry for Texas voters.

58%

Want bipartisan action on infrastructure

A majority of voters across party lines favor cooperative legislative solutions for roads, water, and energy grid reliability.

David Leebron, President and CEO Texas 2036

David Leebron
President and CEO, Texas 2036

“Texas voters are focused on the high cost of some of the basic elements of their well-being, including housing and medical care. They want results from their leaders that make life more affordable, strengthen education and build long-term opportunity.”

Confidence in Texas' Future

A majority of Texas voters remain confident in the state’s trajectory:

  • By a 3-to-1 margin (54% to 18%), voters say Texas’ economy will outperform the U.S. over the next four years.
  • Two-thirds (66%) say they are confident they could find a good‑paying job in Texas, with Republicans more confident (77%) than Democrats (52%), and men reporting greater optimism (71%) than women (61%).
  • 44% believe Texas offers more economic and job opportunities than other states, compared to 16% who believe the state has fewer opportunities.

But Texans also continue to express unease about Texas’ direction heading into 2026, with 85% registering some level of concern about the state’s future.

When comparing Texas to the rest of the United States, which do you believe will have the stronger economy over the next four years?

Economic Pressures Drive the Agenda

Concern about rising prices in health care or the costs associated with owning a home stood out in this year’s survey of Texas voters.

  • 82% say they are more likely to support candidates who will prioritize lowering health care prices, the top election motivator in the poll. More than a third say someone in their household skipped or delayed medical care because they did not know what it would cost, the highest level since Texas 2036 began tracking the issue in 2021.
  • 79% want leaders who will work to address homeowners’ insurance rates, with nearly four in five voters reporting that their rates have increased in the past five years.

Have you or someone in your household postponed or skipped any medical treatment or surgery in recent years because you didn’t know what the final medical costs might be?

Accountability in Education Matters to Texans

Quality education remains a top priority for Texas voters, who give mixed marks to Texas public schools when it comes to preparing students for future success.

  • 56% of Texas voters with school-aged children gave their local public schools either an “excellent” rating (36%) or “good” (20%), compared to the 23% who gave a 23% “fair” or the 18% who gave a “poor” rating.
  • But voters gave their local school district a six-out-of-10 rating when it comes to ensuring graduates complete high school ready for college or prepared to enter the workforce with a good-paying job.

And Texas voters are looking for decisive opportunities to improve school outcomes.

  • 78% said they are more likely to vote for a candidate who supports improving education accountability.

When parents of current public school students were asked if they had considered sending their child to a different school or school district within the past year, 37% responded that they had. The primary reason provided was academics.

And when asked if they intended to apply for the new Educational Savings Account program, 46% of parents of school-aged students reported that they were either “very likely” (23%) or “somewhat likely” (23%). The intensity was higher among public school parents (25% “very likely”) than among parents whose children are not in public school (17% “very likely”).

The poll included 219 parents of current public-school students and 284 parents of school-aged children (ages 4–18). While smaller in sample size, these responses offer a closer look at how Texas parents view education options.

Would you rate the job being done by public schools in your school district as…?

Voters Want Leaders to Fight for Their Shared Beliefs

The Texas Voter Poll also offers new insight into how Texans view the tone of politics today, preferring a candidate who will fight for them but rejecting violence in politics.

A majority (56%) say they prefer candidates who fight for their shared beliefs, while 37% favor those who work with people with whom they disagree. A majority, or 52%, say they are more concerned about a society where people can’t resolve their differences vs. 37% who say they are more concerned about the other side’s political beliefs prevailing.

Worries about political violence remain strikingly high: 76% of voters say they are extremely or very concerned about political violence in the nation. More than nine in 10 Texans reject violence as a means to achieve political goals.

METHODOLOGY

How the Poll Was Conducted

Baselice & Associates conducted the survey of 1,001 registered Texas voters from September 25 to October 1, 2025.

The poll carries a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Due to rounding, percentages on charts may not add up to 100%.

Respondents were reached through three collection methods to ensure a representative sample of the Texas electorate.

Live phone interview: 54%
Web Survey: 33%
Text-to-Cell: 13%

ARCHIVE

Additional Polling Data

Each poll captures a snapshot of Texas voters’ priorities at a distinct moment in the state’s history.

9TH TEXAS VOTER POLL
SEPTEMBER 2025

Texas voters cautiously optimistic, want state leaders to act

Texas voters are heading into the 2026 elections with cautious optimism about the state’s future, and a strong desire for decisive leadership by elected officials.

Issues: Infrastructure, Healthcare, Workforce, Education

8TH TEXAS VOTER POLL
DECEMBER 2024

Texans weigh in on legislative priorities

Conducted after the November elections, this edition found voters strongly focused on infrastructure, workforce, and health care affordability heading into the 2025 legislative session.

Issues: Infrastructure, Health Care, Workforce, Childcare, Housing, Education, Criminal Justice, Artificial Intelligence

7TH TEXAS VOTER POLL
AUGUST 2023

Affordability and Workforce Top Voter Concerns

Rising housing costs and workforce readiness emerged as dominant themes. Voters across party lines backed investment in technical education and job training.

Issues: Education, Energy, Health Care, Property Insurance

6TH TEXAS VOTER POLL
FEBRUARY 2023

Voters see budget surplus as opportunity to tackle long-term issues 

Texas voters indicate strong support for using budget surplus to increase public education and water infrastructure funding along with lowering property taxes.

Issues: Education, Water, Cybersecurity, Property Insurance, State Parks

5TH TEXAS VOTER POLL
SEPTEMBER 2022

Voters outline a roadmap to a bright future

Texas voters are increasingly concerned about the state’s future, but their support for solutions on core-governance issues offers leaders a roadmap for strengthening voter confidence and moving Texas forward.

Issues: Economy, Government Performance, Education, Workforce, Criminal Justice, Infrastructure 

4TH TEXAS VOTER POLL
JANUARY 2022

Post-Uri: Water and resilience in focus

A year after Winter Storm Uri knocked out electricity and water across Texas, a new poll shows most voters share deep concerns about extreme weather, and they support an expanded approach to the state’s economic future and infrastructure challenges.

Issues: Economy, Education, Energy, Health Care, Government Performance

3RD TEXAS VOTER POLL
AUGUST 2021

Voters look for long-term solutions 

Texas voters are increasingly concerned about the state’s future — and they overwhelmingly want leaders to take advantage of billions of federal stimulus dollars coming to Texas to facilitate long-term solutions.

Issues: Infrastructure, Cybersecurity, State Parks

2ND TEXAS VOTER POLL
JANUARY 2021

Texas voters express concern about the future

Conducted during the COVID-19 pandemic, this poll found economic recover and public health topping voter concerns.

Issues: Health Care, Workforce, Education

1st TEXAS VOTER POLL
JANUARY 2021

Texas voters share concerns about the state’s future

Conducted during the COVID-19 pandemic, this poll found voters sharing concerns about infrastructure, healthcare, and workforce development.

Issues: Healthcare, Workforce, Infrastructure

NEWS & ANALYSIS

Deeper Dives Into Poll Data

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