Based on current trends, Texas is expected to gain between 3-5 million people by our bicentennial in 2036. By 2060, Texas will be home to anywhere between 36 and 44 million people.
Based on the Texas Demographic Center projections, Texas’ population is expected to be the following as of 2036:
- Since 2020, most of Texas’ population growth was driven by domestic migration.
- Hispanics recently became the largest population group in Texas.
- Hispanics less than 25 years old are currently the largest demographic group in Texas. By 2050, the Hispanic population will be the largest racial/ethnic group in every age category.
- From 2023-2050, the fastest growing age groups will be among people 65 years and older.
- The number of people 65+ will increase by more than 88% in this time period.
- The rate of growth was the second highest (57%) among individuals 45-64 years old between 2023-2050.
- The share of people aged 45 and older was 37% of the total population in 2023 and is projected to grow to 41.2% in 2050.
All data derived in this dashboard came from historical and population projections by the Texas Demographic Center from data releases in 2018 and 2022. The Texas Demographic Center, led by Texas State Demographer Dr. Lloyd B. Potter, is a U.S. Census-based statistical hub housed within The University of Texas San Antonio and the Capitol Complex in Austin.
For more information on migration scenarios and other Texas demographics click here.